Influence of Technology on Hard Money Lending

Three Ways AI Will Impact The Advancing Industry
the massive size of
real estate lending. The Fed's latest report shows mortgage debt topping $9
trillion. When including mortgages from businesses, it tops $15 trillion. Over
10 million homes and commercial properties sell each year.
Equally staggering is how much data exists on the borrowers.
Lending is big business and big data, and while banks are harnessing that data,
private lenders now need to follow suit.
Powered by the rise in computer processing power and
individual data, artificial intelligence can find patterns that predict
borrower behavior, helping lenders make more money. AI is not quite the stuff
of movies like Terminator. Think of it as software analyzing statistics at
scale. fashiondreamland
Here are two kinds of AI: supervised and unsupervised. With
supervised AI, humans create specific "rules," and software sorts
data based on the set rules. The AI learns the lender's underwriting rules —
collateral value, borrower experience, etc. The difference is AI can examine
thousands of applications in short order, grouping them by profitability or
default risk. Supervised AI is helpful for big banks, but most of us don't need
that heavy lift.
Unsupervised AI is more relevant for us in the hard
money lending space. In unsupervised AI, humans don't create rules at the
beginning. Instead, a data scientist feeds it a massive amount of data and
essentially flips a switch to let the AI identify patterns across millions of
variables. digitalbeautyweb
Imagine AI analysis of borrower records shows that people frequently
post messages on Facebook at night default faster than others. Perhaps these
borrowers are sleep deprived, disorganized, or bad at time management. What
matters is that you now have a predictive variable and can screen future
applicants for night owl posts.
There are three groups of AI applications, both supervised
and unsupervised, now used in the lending process:
AI that determines creditworthiness for borrowers with
limited credit history:
As in our example about Facebook, many companies use AI to
sift alternative data to predict creditworthiness. It has been important for
markets like Africa, where a growing middle class uses smartphones but lacks
traditional credit or FICO scores. gobeautybay
With AI, a lender could examine a borrower's digital
footprint for creditworthiness by having the applicant download an app to their
phone. With the app feeding data to a credit scoring platform, variables such
as social media, browsing, geolocation, and more are used to get a fuller
picture of the borrower. One company called Lenddo has done this across Africa
and Asia.
China is another market where consumer credit scores are
underdeveloped. Technology companies now draw data from behavior online and
elsewhere to analyze people's search, location, and payment data to compute
creditworthiness in a "social credit" system.
Some pioneering lenders in North America are experimenting
with search history data. Many car buyers, especially young people who haven't
taken out much credit before, don't qualify for auto loans. Auto lenders are
now getting comfortable extending loans despite "thin" credit scores
when the borrowers' search characteristics are favorable.
AI that streamlines the existing loan process:
Large lenders use AI to reduce underwriting overhead and
delays, increasing loan profits. Some tech companies have recently used AI to
automate the loan process. Fans of this technology say it leads to less bias
and better loans. gethealthblog
A company called Upstart claims to use AI to automate all
steps, from the application to the final decision for a loan. The machine
learning algorithms use educational degrees, study areas, and occupation
variables.
AI that finds and delights customers:
Regarding e-commerce, Amazon's behemoth loans billions of
dollars to small businesses reselling on its platform. AI is used to identify
borrowers who are low credit risks based on their inventory turnover and
profitability. Amazon relies entirely on AI, so no humans are involved, not
even with filling out an application, and it offers unsolicited loans on "take
it or leave it" terms.
In customer support, AI is mainly used for things like
chatbots. But I know of one company that has started using AI to help customers
pay off loans faster by sending borrowers a no-pressure analysis of whether
they can pay more quickly to save interest and fees. Other startups help
consumers with their financial picture, including increasing take-home pay,
reducing expenses, and consolidating debt. Bank customers appreciate
the service, making them more reliable future borrowers.
Using AI In Hard Money Lending
It's tempting to think hard money lenders don't need AI
since we deal with fewer applicants than banks and always have property as
collateral. But AI could be used to find new potential borrowers, streamline
the lending process, identify risks and opportunities, and more. You don't need
to go out and hire a bunch of coders and data scientists; some AI companies
offer software on a subscription basis.
In the old days, some hard money lenders would claim they
didn't need the Internet for their jobs. Today, few would get anything done
without it. That's how AI will evolve in our industry: from a novelty to an
indispensable tool that lets you earn more. First movers in AI will
become our industry's long-term winners.