Influence of Technology on Hard Money Lending

 


Three Ways AI Will Impact The Advancing Industry

 the massive size of real estate lending. The Fed's latest report shows mortgage debt topping $9 trillion. When including mortgages from businesses, it tops $15 trillion. Over 10 million homes and commercial properties sell each year.

Equally staggering is how much data exists on the borrowers. Lending is big business and big data, and while banks are harnessing that data, private lenders now need to follow suit.

Powered by the rise in computer processing power and individual data, artificial intelligence can find patterns that predict borrower behavior, helping lenders make more money. AI is not quite the stuff of movies like Terminator. Think of it as software analyzing statistics at scale.  fashiondreamland

Here are two kinds of AI: supervised and unsupervised. With supervised AI, humans create specific "rules," and software sorts data based on the set rules. The AI learns the lender's underwriting rules — collateral value, borrower experience, etc. The difference is AI can examine thousands of applications in short order, grouping them by profitability or default risk. Supervised AI is helpful for big banks, but most of us don't need that heavy lift.

Unsupervised AI is more relevant for us in the hard money lending space. In unsupervised AI, humans don't create rules at the beginning. Instead, a data scientist feeds it a massive amount of data and essentially flips a switch to let the AI identify patterns across millions of variables.  digitalbeautyweb

Imagine AI analysis of borrower records shows that people frequently post messages on Facebook at night default faster than others. Perhaps these borrowers are sleep deprived, disorganized, or bad at time management. What matters is that you now have a predictive variable and can screen future applicants for night owl posts.

There are three groups of AI applications, both supervised and unsupervised, now used in the lending process:

AI that determines creditworthiness for borrowers with limited credit history:

As in our example about Facebook, many companies use AI to sift alternative data to predict creditworthiness. It has been important for markets like Africa, where a growing middle class uses smartphones but lacks traditional credit or FICO scores.  gobeautybay

With AI, a lender could examine a borrower's digital footprint for creditworthiness by having the applicant download an app to their phone. With the app feeding data to a credit scoring platform, variables such as social media, browsing, geolocation, and more are used to get a fuller picture of the borrower. One company called Lenddo has done this across Africa and Asia.

China is another market where consumer credit scores are underdeveloped. Technology companies now draw data from behavior online and elsewhere to analyze people's search, location, and payment data to compute creditworthiness in a "social credit" system.

Some pioneering lenders in North America are experimenting with search history data. Many car buyers, especially young people who haven't taken out much credit before, don't qualify for auto loans. Auto lenders are now getting comfortable extending loans despite "thin" credit scores when the borrowers' search characteristics are favorable.

AI that streamlines the existing loan process:

Large lenders use AI to reduce underwriting overhead and delays, increasing loan profits. Some tech companies have recently used AI to automate the loan process. Fans of this technology say it leads to less bias and better loans.   gethealthblog

A company called Upstart claims to use AI to automate all steps, from the application to the final decision for a loan. The machine learning algorithms use educational degrees, study areas, and occupation variables.

AI that finds and delights customers:

Regarding e-commerce, Amazon's behemoth loans billions of dollars to small businesses reselling on its platform. AI is used to identify borrowers who are low credit risks based on their inventory turnover and profitability. Amazon relies entirely on AI, so no humans are involved, not even with filling out an application, and it offers unsolicited loans on "take it or leave it" terms.

In customer support, AI is mainly used for things like chatbots. But I know of one company that has started using AI to help customers pay off loans faster by sending borrowers a no-pressure analysis of whether they can pay more quickly to save interest and fees. Other startups help consumers with their financial picture, including increasing take-home pay, reducing expenses, and consolidating debt. Bank customers appreciate the service, making them more reliable future borrowers.

Using AI In Hard Money Lending

It's tempting to think hard money lenders don't need AI since we deal with fewer applicants than banks and always have property as collateral. But AI could be used to find new potential borrowers, streamline the lending process, identify risks and opportunities, and more. You don't need to go out and hire a bunch of coders and data scientists; some AI companies offer software on a subscription basis.

In the old days, some hard money lenders would claim they didn't need the Internet for their jobs. Today, few would get anything done without it. That's how AI will evolve in our industry: from a novelty to an indispensable tool that lets you earn more. First movers in AI will become our industry's long-term winners.

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